Forest Sector Modeling

Modeling forest management, land use, and market dynamics at different spatial and temporal scales. We use forest sector models to project market and environmental implications of global change and policy incentives. Some examples include:

• Global modeling of climate and bioenergy policy pathways using the Global Timber Model, e.g.,
  • Evaluating interactions between carbon pricing and bioenergy
• Multi-sector projections that capture interactions between forestry and agriculture using the FASOM model, e.g.,
  • Projecting agriculture and forest sector interactions across socioeconomic scenarios and quantifying GHG mitigation potential
• Spatially explicit modeling of forest resource allocation from supply point to demand point using the LURA model.

Relevant Publications

• The economic costs of planting, preserving, and managing the world’s forests for mitigate climate change , Nature Communications (2020)
• Developing Detailed Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) Narratives for the Global Forest Sector , Journal of Forest Economics (2019)
• Evaluating Potential Sources of Aggregation Bias with a Structural Optimization Model of the U.S. Forest Sector , Journal of Forest Economics (2019)
• Importance of Cross-Sector Interactions When Projecting Forest Carbon across Alternative Socioeconomic Futures , Journal of Forest Economics (2019)
• Potential complementarity between forest carbon sequestration incentives and biomass energy expansion , Energy Policy (2019)
• Projecting the Spatial Distribution of Possible Planted Forest Expansion in the United States , Journal of Forestry (2019)
• State of the Art Methods to Project Forest Carbon Stocks , Journal of Forest Economics (2019)